Sarnen vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 1
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 3
TEA
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAR
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
KUS
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 3
GOL
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BEL
7%
17%
76%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |