Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 2
SAR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
TAV
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
0 - 1
SAR
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 1
GCB
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 1
SAR
48%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
WIL
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GUN
1 - 5
HER
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 3
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
6 - 1
GCB
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUO
2 - 2
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |