Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 5
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 1
SAR
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 2
SAR
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 0
LUZ
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
RUS
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 4
HER
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 4
IBA
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |