Switzerland Fifth Division Round 8

Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis

Sarnen Hergiswil
26 ELO 26
18% Tilt 9.9%
27647º General ELO ranking 23785º
288º Country ELO ranking 253º
ELO win probability
47.3%
Sarnen
21.2%
Draw
31.5%
Hergiswil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
Sarnen
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.5%
Win probability
Hergiswil
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Sarnen
Hergiswil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarnen
Sarnen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
SAR
Sarnen
0 - 5
FC Sursee
FCS
48%
23%
29%
27 30 3 0
18 Sep. 2012
GOL
Goldau
2 - 1
Sarnen
SAR
32%
24%
44%
28 22 6 -1
15 Sep. 2012
RUS
Ruswil
2 - 2
Sarnen
SAR
33%
23%
44%
28 24 4 0
08 Sep. 2012
SAR
Sarnen
5 - 1
Ascona
ASC
63%
19%
18%
28 25 3 0
25 Aug. 2012
SAR
Sarnen
3 - 0
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
73%
16%
11%
27 21 6 +1

Matches

Hergiswil
Hergiswil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
HER
Hergiswil
3 - 2
Ruswil
RUS
58%
21%
22%
27 24 3 0
19 Sep. 2012
ASC
Ascona
3 - 2
Hergiswil
HER
33%
23%
44%
27 24 3 0
15 Sep. 2012
COL
Colombier
2 - 4
Hergiswil
HER
20%
19%
61%
27 16 11 0
04 Sep. 2012
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 0
Goldau
GOL
61%
20%
19%
27 23 4 0
25 Aug. 2012
HER
Hergiswil
1 - 4
Ibach
IBA
60%
20%
20%
28 24 4 -1