Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 1
LUZ
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 2
FCS
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EMM
3 - 1
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 4
IBA
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
AAR
9 - 0
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LUZ
4 - 3
HER
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HER
5 - 0
LSS
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |