Switzerland Fifth Division Round 5

Sarnen vs Ascona analysis

Sarnen Ascona
23 ELO 23
11.3% Tilt 1.5%
27634º General ELO ranking 23748º
288º Country ELO ranking 238º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Sarnen
19%
Draw
19.3%
Ascona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
Sarnen
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.3%
Win probability
Ascona
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Sarnen
Ascona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarnen
Sarnen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2015
ESC
Eschenbach
2 - 0
Sarnen
SAR
43%
24%
33%
25 24 1 0
23 Aug. 2015
SAR
Sarnen
0 - 0
Taverne
TAV
56%
20%
24%
25 25 0 0
15 Aug. 2015
LUZ
Kickers Luzern
2 - 2
Sarnen
SAR
26%
24%
50%
25 19 6 0
08 Aug. 2015
IBA
Ibach
1 - 0
Sarnen
SAR
48%
24%
28%
26 27 1 -1
06 Jun. 2015
CAS
AS Castello
0 - 1
Sarnen
SAR
44%
23%
33%
26 26 0 0

Matches

Ascona
Ascona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2015
ASC
Ascona
0 - 0
Ibach
IBA
31%
23%
46%
22 28 6 0
22 Aug. 2015
HER
Hergiswil
3 - 1
Ascona
ASC
64%
19%
18%
23 26 3 -1
15 Aug. 2015
ASC
Ascona
3 - 1
Hochdorf
HOC
44%
22%
33%
22 22 0 +1
09 Aug. 2015
TEA
Team Ticino U21
2 - 2
Ascona
ASC
73%
16%
11%
22 30 8 0
06 Jun. 2015
GOL
Goldau
6 - 1
Ascona
ASC
83%
11%
6%
23 35 12 -1