Sarnen vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EMM
0 - 0
SAR
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
HOC
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 0
IBA
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GOL
2 - 0
SAR
54%
22%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
ESC
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 0
ASC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
TAV
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |