Sarnen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 5
LSS
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +4 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCA
4 - 0
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 2
BUO
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 5
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 1
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
ACS
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 2
AAR
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
MAL
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |