Sarmiento vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
ESP
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
STM
0 - 1
SAR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BRO
1 - 0
SAR
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 2
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUA
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SUA
0 - 1
VSC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STM
2 - 2
SUA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SUA
0 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |