Sarmiento vs Temperley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
EST
3 - 2
SAR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAR
0 - 1
ARM
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CCO
0 - 2
SAR
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAR
2 - 0
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SAR
2 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TEM
2 - 1
FLA
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 0
TEM
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TEM
0 - 0
PLA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
TEM
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BRO
1 - 3
TEM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |