Sarmiento vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
MIT
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TEM
2 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 1
SAR
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
MOR
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
TEM
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |