Sarmiento vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
SAR
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAR
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALM
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
4 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
SUA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALM
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |