Sarmiento Leones vs Social Corralense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 2
SAR
51%
27%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 4
RAC
38%
28%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 1
SAR
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -3 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
RAC
44%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Social Corralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ASC
0 - 0
AAJ
28%
21%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
ASC
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |