Ayacucho vs Náutico Hacoaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
SAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
SAR
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
EVE
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico Hacoaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HAC
0 - 4
IND
16%
23%
62%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FER
3 - 1
HAC
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
HAC
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HAC
2 - 2
AME
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 3
HAC
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |