Sariñena vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAR
27%
26%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
BIN
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ROB
1 - 4
SAR
41%
27%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CFB
0 - 1
SAR
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 5
ZAR
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 2
UDC
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BIN
5 - 0
UDC
52%
24%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROB
2 - 0
UDC
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |