Sarasota Paradise vs Sporting JAX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarasota Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
MCI
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 16
SPA
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
PCY
1 - 1
SPA
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
WFC
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
KHS
82%
12%
7%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting JAX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BHF
0 - 3
JAX
28%
21%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
JAX
2 - 0
BHF
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAX
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
JAX
3 - 0
IGK
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
JAX
2 - 0
NFC
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | +8 |