SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
EGF
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
GRE
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
ALL
46%
20%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GSF
2 - 2
SAP
11%
14%
75%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
5 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 2
WIL
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
GRE
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
4 - 2
VLI
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |