SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VLI
3 - 0
SAP
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 0
HOP
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 2
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
5 - 1
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
SAP
2 - 2
VLI
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ORO
0 - 0
GOL
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
4 - 0
ORO
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HOP
3 - 1
ORO
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VLI
1 - 1
ORO
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 4
ORO
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |