São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SGA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
1 - 1
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECS
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
ECA
27%
27%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
GEB
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
GEB
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |