São Paulo RS vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 3
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
5 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 2
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |