São Paulo RS vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GFC
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
0 - 0
ECA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 0
FAR
60%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
1 - 1
GLO
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 1
ECA
36%
24%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |