São Paulo RS vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAO
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CRI
0 - 0
CAX
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
3 - 0
OPE
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |