Serie A Betano Round 16

São Paulo vs São Caetano analysis

São Paulo São Caetano
86 ELO 84
19.4% Tilt 15.5%
143º General ELO ranking 5578º
17º Country ELO ranking 197º
ELO win probability
64.6%
São Paulo
19.8%
Draw
15.6%
São Caetano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
São Paulo
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
São Caetano
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+3%
+7%
São Caetano

ELO progression

São Paulo
São Caetano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2003
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
31%
25%
45%
86 80 6 0
21 Jun. 2003
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
70%
17%
13%
86 80 6 0
15 Jun. 2003
COR
Corinthians
1 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
51%
22%
27%
86 85 1 0
08 Jun. 2003
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
68%
18%
14%
86 81 5 0
01 Jun. 2003
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
52%
22%
26%
86 86 0 0

Matches

São Caetano
São Caetano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2003
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
40%
27%
33%
85 81 4 0
22 Jun. 2003
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
51%
25%
25%
84 80 4 +1
15 Jun. 2003
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
63%
21%
16%
84 87 3 0
08 Jun. 2003
SAO
São Caetano
1 - 0
Corinthians
COR
39%
26%
35%
84 85 1 0
31 May. 2003
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
49%
24%
27%
84 81 3 0