São Paulo vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.3%
2-0
19.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
EIN
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAO
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 3
RBB
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
MIR
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 3
AUD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MIR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
RBB
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |