São Paulo vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
12%
22%
67%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 2
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOT
76%
16%
7%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
39%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
FER
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |