São Paulo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GRE
0 - 4
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
65%
18%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
COT
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ATM
4 - 1
COT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
COT
0 - 0
POR
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FLA
2 - 1
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COT
2 - 2
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |