São Paulo vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FFL
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 1
RBB
44%
24%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAP
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAP
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |