São Paulo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
SAO
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
6 - 3
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POR
4 - 0
LIN
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POR
24%
24%
53%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
4 - 2
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 0
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |