São Paulo AP vs Ypiranga AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
YAP
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
YAP
5 - 1
SEC
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
YAP
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |