São Paulo AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
56.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
YAP
1 - 0
SPM
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
4 - 1
SPM
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
55%
20%
26%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORC
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ORC
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |