São Mateus vs Rio Bananal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
JAG
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VFC
2 - 0
SAO
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
CAC
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SER
2 - 3
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Bananal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 2
BFC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 0
GEL
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 0
BFC
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 1
VFC
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 3
BFC
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |