São Mamede vs Moinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mamede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 1
SMA
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 4
VRA
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 1
SMA
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 1
SEP
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAN
3 - 0
SMA
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOI
2 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
0 - 5
MOI
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOI
5 - 1
PER
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
MOI
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
0 - 1
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |