São Luiz vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
PAS
4 - 1
SLU
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
NOV
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
SLU
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 3
GRE
15%
24%
60%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |