São José vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 3
FLA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
22%
22%
55%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 0
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
INT
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +5 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
3 - 1
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |