São José MA vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
JOS
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
JOS
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
JOS
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
JOS
3 - 1
BAC
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
JOS
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
IMP
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 3
COR
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |