São João Ver vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 3
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
BUS
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
CES
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CES
2 - 2
CIN
32%
26%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |