São João Ver vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CES
0 - 2
ACV
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
COI
1 - 1
CES
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
CIN
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
CES
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |