São Carlos vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
SJS
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
TAB
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 1
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |