São Carlos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 2
BAT
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AEA
3 - 1
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
AEA
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
GUA
52%
23%
24%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 0
IND
33%
27%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
IND
64%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
SKA
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |