São Caetano vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 4
BRA
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 3
OES
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
MIR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PPE
3 - 0
MIR
69%
21%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |