São Caetano vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
XVD
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
PPE
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITU
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 0
GUA
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
OES
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
GOI
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |