São Caetano vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MOG
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TUP
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |