Paulista A1 Round 9

São Bernardo FC vs Noroeste analysis

São Bernardo FC Noroeste
59 ELO 60
1.6% Tilt -6.8%
644º General ELO ranking 3295º
38º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
46.1%
São Bernardo FC
24%
Draw
30%
Noroeste

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
São Bernardo FC
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30%
Win probability
Noroeste
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Bernardo FC
-7%
-12%
Noroeste

ELO progression

São Bernardo FC
Noroeste
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Bernardo FC
São Bernardo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2011
SAO
São Bernardo FC
0 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
34%
24%
42%
58 66 8 0
06 Feb. 2011
ITU
Ituano
2 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
43%
24%
32%
59 56 3 -1
03 Feb. 2011
BRA
RB Bragantino
3 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
69%
18%
13%
60 69 9 -1
30 Jan. 2011
SAO
São Bernardo FC
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
9%
20%
71%
60 86 26 0
26 Jan. 2011
SAO
São Bernardo FC
0 - 2
Oeste
OES
54%
22%
23%
61 59 2 -1

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2011
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
85%
11%
4%
61 85 24 0
05 Feb. 2011
NOR
Noroeste
4 - 1
Mogi Mirim
MOG
42%
25%
32%
60 60 0 +1
02 Feb. 2011
PAU
Paulista
0 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
47%
25%
28%
60 59 1 0
29 Jan. 2011
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 5
Guaratinguetá
GUA
36%
26%
38%
61 65 4 -1
26 Jan. 2011
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 2
RB Bragantino
BRA
32%
27%
41%
61 69 8 0