São Bernardo FC vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
81%
13%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
SAO
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
22%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
AGU
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |