Santos AP vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 1
SPO
6%
15%
80%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
PES
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 0
SPO
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
AFO
91%
8%
2%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 0
SPO
2%
7%
91%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |