Santos AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
IAP
1 - 3
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 0
ECM
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
SEC
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 2
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPM
3 - 1
IAP
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
3 - 4
SPM
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 6
SPM
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
TDC
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |