Santos AP vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
YAP
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
TDC
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
YAP
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
0 - 3
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
IAP
1 - 0
TDC
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
3 - 1
ECM
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
0 - 3
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
0 - 4
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
2 - 2
SPM
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |