Paulista A1 Knock-outs Final

Global 1-2

Santo André vs Ituano analysis

Santo André Ituano
61 ELO 59
-15.5% Tilt -11.2%
3429º General ELO ranking 1159º
95º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Santo André
26.6%
Draw
29.6%
Ituano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
Santo André
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.6%
Win probability
Ituano
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santo André
-22%
-8%
Ituano

ELO progression

Santo André
Ituano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2017
ITU
Ituano
1 - 0
Santo André
SAN
32%
26%
42%
62 57 5 0
15 Apr. 2017
SAN
Santo André
1 - 1
São Bento
SAO
51%
26%
24%
62 57 5 0
08 Apr. 2017
ITU
Ituano
1 - 1
Santo André
SAN
33%
26%
41%
62 58 4 0
02 Apr. 2017
SAN
Santo André
2 - 0
RB Brasil
RBB
39%
28%
34%
61 62 1 +1
30 Mar. 2017
AUD
Audax São Paulo
1 - 2
Santo André
SAN
38%
26%
36%
60 58 2 +1

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2017
ITU
Ituano
1 - 0
Santo André
SAN
32%
26%
42%
57 62 5 0
15 Apr. 2017
ITU
Ituano
0 - 3
Ferroviária
FER
30%
26%
44%
58 66 8 -1
08 Apr. 2017
ITU
Ituano
1 - 1
Santo André
SAN
33%
26%
41%
58 62 4 0
02 Apr. 2017
MIR
Mirassol FC
0 - 1
Ituano
ITU
58%
23%
20%
57 64 7 +1
30 Mar. 2017
ITU
Ituano
0 - 0
RB Brasil
RBB
33%
26%
40%
57 63 6 0