Santo André vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 5
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 22 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 3
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
OES
1 - 4
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ITU
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 1
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
ITU
0 - 1
PAL
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
ITU
56%
22%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |