Santo André vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 3
SAN
27%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
VEL
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
BAT
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |