EMD Santillana vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAM
39%
23%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
CUL
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
SMA
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
REV
2 - 0
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 3
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ARE
2 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |